Casasimarro vs Villamalea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
LRO
26%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AJU
1 - 3
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
CHA
56%
21%
24%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 2
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villamalea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
0 - 2
VIL
30%
22%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
6 - 0
AJU
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
VIL
5%
13%
82%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALM
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |