Casasimarro vs Iniestense Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+451%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIL
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
UDT
2 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 4
VIL
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
LRO
26%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iniestense Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 2
INB
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
INB
2 - 0
LRO
29%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AJU
0 - 1
INB
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
INB
3 - 1
CHA
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 0
INB
51%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |