Casasimarro vs Higueruela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CMG
2 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAN
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Higueruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HIG
0 - 4
CON
21%
19%
60%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
HIG
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HIG
0 - 1
DBA
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BON
4 - 1
HIG
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HIG
2 - 1
TAR
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |