El Casar vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+591%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ESQ
6 - 0
CAS
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
CON
27%
24%
49%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
CAS
58%
22%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
ATA
7%
15%
78%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 1
AZU
29%
25%
46%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
JDO
1 - 0
SAG
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 0
REC
31%
24%
46%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VSA
3 - 0
SAG
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 1
SAG
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |