El Casar vs Guadalajara B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+596%
+194%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
T66
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
UDT
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
TOL
25%
24%
51%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
HOR
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalajara B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
21%
25%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 0
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CFA
0 - 4
GUA
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |