El Casar vs Esquivias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
CAS
36%
25%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
HOR
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 1
TOR
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Esquivias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ESQ
2 - 2
AZU
62%
21%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JDO
1 - 5
ESQ
11%
19%
70%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ESQ
3 - 0
REC
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VSA
1 - 3
ESQ
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESQ
4 - 0
TRE
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |