El Casar vs ACDM Horche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 1
TOR
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
SIG
48%
24%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GPR
3 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACDM Horche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 0
AZU
10%
20%
70%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
REC
14%
21%
65%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VSA
1 - 2
HOR
67%
17%
15%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 2
TRE
7%
13%
80%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAG
2 - 0
HOR
58%
22%
21%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |