Casale vs Verbania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 3
CAS
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOS
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ACP
2 - 0
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
CAS
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Verbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VER
0 - 3
SAN
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
VER
0 - 0
BOR
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
GHI
1 - 1
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
VER
2 - 1
ASD
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
USR
0 - 0
VER
68%
20%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |