Casale vs Verbania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
UNI
11%
20%
69%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 3
CAS
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
CHI
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
CAS
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASD
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Verbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
CAR
10%
18%
73%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
VER
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
VER
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 60 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VER
2 - 2
VOG
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
INV
1 - 1
VER
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |