Casale vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIN
2 - 0
CAS
34%
27%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
26%
26%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
CAS
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 0
FCC
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
24%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VNZ
2 - 2
SCH
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 0
VNZ
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FAN
87%
10%
4%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |