Casale vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CUN
3 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
FSD
2 - 1
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
BIE
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
OLB
2 - 2
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VAL
3 - 0
LEO
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
LEO
1 - 1
CUN
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
LEO
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LEO
0 - 1
FSD
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BIE
2 - 0
LEO
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |