Casale vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 0
CAS
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
TOR
22%
21%
57%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
NAP
19%
19%
62%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
PRO
5 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
USA
4 - 1
TRI
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
USA
0 - 0
PAL
63%
18%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
INT
1 - 0
USA
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
USA
1 - 0
BAR
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
LEO
3 - 2
USA
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |