Casale vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
PRO
3 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
NAP
5 - 1
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 0
ROM
9%
15%
75%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 1
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
USA
2 - 1
LAZ
48%
23%
30%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
USA
4 - 5
LEO
48%
23%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
INT
4 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
JUV
3 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
USA
3 - 0
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |