Casale vs Sanremese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FEZ
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SES
1 - 2
SAN
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
SAN
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
ARC
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 2
SAN
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
BUS
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |