Casale vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 1
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
BRE
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
INT
9 - 0
CAS
85%
10%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 0
ACM
35%
24%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
44%
25%
30%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 3
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
ROM
0 - 0
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1933 |
LEO
3 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |