Casale vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAL
49%
22%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 0
TRI
47%
22%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEO
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
ROM
1 - 0
USA
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
ROM
1 - 3
GEN
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |