Casale vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 1
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 1
LAZ
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 1
JUV
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1931 |
PRO
2 - 2
ROM
12%
17%
70%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 0
JUV
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
USA
0 - 1
ROM
36%
24%
39%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 1
LEO
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |