Casale vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 0
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 2
LAZ
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 2
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 1
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
PRO
0 - 4
ROM
32%
25%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
ROM
5 - 0
JUV
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
NAP
3 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
ROM
3 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |