Casale vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAS
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
5%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIN
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RIM
1 - 2
BV5
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
RIM
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RIM
2 - 0
SCH
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
4 - 1
RIM
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |