Casale vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
2 - 2
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
GEN
9%
15%
76%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1930 |
INT
5 - 1
CAS
96%
3%
1%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
BRE
3 - 1
PRO
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 2
TOR
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 0
PRO
81%
11%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |