Casale vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
62%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
PRO
5 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 3
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
INT
4 - 2
CAS
90%
6%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 1
ROM
17%
20%
63%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
JUV
3 - 0
NAP
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 0
TRI
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
LAZ
0 - 1
NAP
38%
25%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
INT
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |