Casale vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAS
85%
9%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
GEN
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 3
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
CAS
6 - 2
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
USA
3 - 1
NAP
42%
21%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
NAP
1 - 0
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |