Casale vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
2 - 3
TRI
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
PRO
3 - 2
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 0
TOR
30%
23%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 2
MOD
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 0
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +2 |