Casale vs Milazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
6 - 0
VAL
75%
18%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CUN
2 - 0
CAS
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 2
MIL
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
FCC
66%
21%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
FON
54%
25%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 5
MIL
37%
27%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
MIL
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |