Casale vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
BOL
6 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
5 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
LIV
40%
24%
35%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
TOR
3 - 1
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
PRO
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
TRI
3 - 1
ACM
24%
21%
55%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |