Casale vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 3
ROM
8%
14%
79%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 0
PRO
48%
23%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
INT
1 - 1
LIV
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ROM
7 - 1
LIV
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
LEO
3 - 1
LIV
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 0
LAZ
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |