Casale vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
16%
18%
66%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
BOL
7 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAS
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 0
CAS
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
LAZ
2 - 1
LEO
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
USA
0 - 1
LAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
LAZ
1 - 0
JUV
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
PRO
2 - 3
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |