Casale vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PDH
0 - 0
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LIG
1 - 1
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
ACS
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 1
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
VFC
3 - 0
LAV
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 1
SES
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SNR
2 - 0
LAV
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 2
LIG
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |