Casale vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
INT
7%
14%
79%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
BOL
6 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
JUV
5 - 3
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 1
JUV
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
JUV
25%
25%
51%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
32%
25%
44%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |