Casale vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
ACM
4 - 2
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 2
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRI
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
TOR
3 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
INT
6 - 2
PRO
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
PRO
1 - 1
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
INT
2 - 4
JUV
56%
22%
23%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
LAZ
2 - 2
INT
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |