Casale vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
78.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
BOL
6 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
5 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
INT
2 - 1
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
INT
3 - 2
LAZ
77%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
INT
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
INT
3 - 0
UNI
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |