Casale vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
45.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
4 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
SES
0 - 0
CAS
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOS
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 1
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
PDH
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 2
PDH
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VFC
0 - 0
GOZ
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SNR
0 - 0
GOZ
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
GOZ
0 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |