Casale vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 3
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
CAS
6 - 2
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 2
CAS
85%
10%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
CAS
0 - 1
LEO
35%
23%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 0
JUV
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
32%
23%
45%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 0
TRI
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 2
USA
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |