Casale vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1930 |
INT
5 - 1
CAS
96%
3%
1%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOD
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
2 - 3
TRI
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GEN
0 - 3
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
MOD
4 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
5 - 1
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 2
GEN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |