Casale vs Fossano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 1
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
PDH
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 3
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOS
0 - 1
PDH
23%
20%
56%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 2
FOS
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FOS
1 - 3
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SNR
0 - 0
FOS
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOS
2 - 3
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |