Casale vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1933 |
BOL
7 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAS
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 0
CAS
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
TOR
22%
21%
57%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1933 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
48%
22%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
FIO
30%
22%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
40%
23%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |