Casale vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
LIG
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FEZ
1 - 3
FOL
39%
24%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
INV
3 - 1
FEZ
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FEZ
1 - 1
BOR
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
5 - 0
FEZ
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
FEZ
0 - 2
ASD
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |