Casale vs FC Südtirol analysis


52	ELO	49
-1.3%	Tilt	0%
14798º	General ELO ranking	510º
464º	Country ELO ranking	34º
ELO win probability

58%

Casale

22.7%

Draw

19.3%

FC Südtirol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

58%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%

22.7%

Draw

0-0

6.2%

1-1

10.8%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

22.7%

19.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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