Casale vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
COM
8%
19%
73%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 2
DER
86%
11%
4%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
BOR
19%
25%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
CAR
12%
21%
67%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -2 |