Casale vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
72.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
ASD
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
INV
2 - 5
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COM
5 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
COM
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
BOR
76%
16%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
COM
10%
20%
71%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |