Casale vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
GEN
5 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 3
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 1
INT
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
45%
24%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
INT
1 - 0
PAD
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
PAD
1 - 0
USA
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
3 - 1
PAD
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
TOR
4 - 2
PAD
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |