Casale vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
TRI
3 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
16%
18%
66%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
BOL
7 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
21%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
USA
4 - 1
PAD
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 2
BAR
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |