Casale vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
INT
9 - 0
CAS
85%
10%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 0
ACM
35%
24%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAD
44%
23%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
TRI
3 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 0
NAP
36%
24%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 0
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |