Casale vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 2
ACM
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REN
0 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
RIM
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 1
ACG
59%
23%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
ACD
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
BOR
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 0
LEC
69%
20%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
BOR
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 4
PRO
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |