Casale vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
65.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CUN
1 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOR
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BUS
3 - 3
CAS
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOL
46%
27%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
VAR
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 2
ASD
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VOG
0 - 1
VAR
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 0
VAR
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |