Casale vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
BUS
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SES
1 - 4
CAS
27%
26%
48%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STR
0 - 2
CAS
10%
16%
74%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 1
FOL
36%
24%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
INV
1 - 0
ARC
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 1
BOR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
LEC
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
ARC
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |