Casale vs AC Sambonifacese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 3
CAS
18%
25%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACS
1 - 2
RIM
17%
24%
59%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
ACS
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 4
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
USA
2 - 3
ACS
77%
15%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 2
TRE
17%
25%
59%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |