Casale vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAR
17%
26%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
DER
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 0
CHI
26%
24%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 2
PAV
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 0
SER
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PAV
9%
15%
77%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 5
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |