Casale vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 3
CAS
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
CHI
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
CAS
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASD
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIN
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 2
UNI
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
VAR
86%
11%
4%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
ASD
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SET
1 - 0
UNI
7%
17%
76%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |