Casale vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 0
ACS
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 3
CAS
18%
25%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 0
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
1 - 0
VIN
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
ACS
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
VIN
59%
24%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
ACG
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |